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Forecast
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Conor McGregor
Day Black Swan
53.3%
vs
Max Holloway
Day Harder but normal
46.6%
Conor McGregor 53.3% Draw 0.2% Max Holloway 46.6%
Predicted winner Conor McGregor
Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 53.3% Β· Max Holloway 46.7%
Based on 1322 past games with the same day-sign pair.
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Dricus du Plessis
Day Just The Best
50%
vs
Kamaru Usman
Day Stop! Refuse no one
50%
Dricus du Plessis 50% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 50%
Predicted winner Too close to call
Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 50% Β· Kamaru Usman 50%
Based on 548 past games with the same day-sign pair.
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History

57,334 Games
2010-01-04
Stephane Robert
–
Michael Berrer
2010-01-04
Michael Russell
–
Stan Wawrinka
2010-01-04
Dudi Sela
–
Kevin Kim
2010-01-04
Lukas Lacko
–
Robby Ginepri
2010-01-04
Igor Kunitsyn
–
Marin ČiliΔ‡
2010-01-04
James Ward
–
Marcel Granollers
2010-01-04
Bjorn Phau
–
Santiago Giraldo
2010-01-04
Jan Hajek
–
Simon Greul
2010-01-04
Janko Tipsarević
–
Carlos MoyΓ‘
2010-01-04
Somdev Devvarman
–
Rainer Schuettler
2010-01-04
Robin Haase
–
Tsung-Hua Yang
2010-01-04
Rajeev Ram
–
Thiemo de Bakker