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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.6%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.4%

Conor McGregor 55.6% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.4%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.6% · Max Holloway 44.4%

Based on 153 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

58.3%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

41.7%

Dricus du Plessis 58.3% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 41.7%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 58.3% · Kamaru Usman 41.7%

Based on 48 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

10,034 Games

2013-03-02

Leverkusen

2–1

VfB Stuttgart

2013-03-02

VfL Wolfsburg

1–4

FC Schalke 04

2013-03-01

Getafe CF

2–0

Real Zaragoza

2013-02-26

Leicester City

3–0

Blackburn Rovers

2013-02-25

West Ham United

2–3

Tottenham Hotspur

2013-02-24

Manchester City

2–0

Chelsea

2013-02-24

Newcastle United

4–2

Southampton

2013-02-23

Barcelona FC

2–1

Sevilla FC

2013-02-23

Deportivo La Coruña

1–2

Real Madrid

2013-02-23

Real Zaragoza

2–2

Valencia CF

2013-02-23

Arsenal

2–1

Aston Villa

2013-02-23

Fulham

1–0

Stoke City