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UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

55.6%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

44.4%

Conor McGregor 55.6% Draw 0% Max Holloway 44.4%

Predicted winner Conor McGregor

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 55.6% · Max Holloway 44.4%

Based on 153 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

58.3%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

41.7%

Dricus du Plessis 58.3% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 41.7%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 58.3% · Kamaru Usman 41.7%

Based on 48 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

10,034 Games

2013-02-09

Bristol City

2–0

Nottingham Forest

2013-02-09

Borussia Dortmund

1–4

Hamburger SV

2013-02-09

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–0

FC Nürnberg

2013-02-09

VfB Stuttgart

1–4

Werder Bremen

2013-02-03

Atlético Madrid

1–0

Real Betis

2013-02-03

Valencia CF

1–1

Barcelona FC

2013-02-03

Manchester City

2–2

Liverpool

2013-02-03

Leverkusen

2–3

Borussia Dortmund

2013-02-02

Getafe CF

3–1

Deportivo La Coruña

2013-02-02

Fulham

0–1

Manchester United

2013-02-02

Newcastle United

3–2

Chelsea

2013-02-02

Everton

3–3

Aston Villa