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Forecast
UFC Β· 2026-07-19
Conor McGregor
Day Black Swan
47.3%
vs
Max Holloway
Day Harder but normal
51.8%
Conor McGregor 47.3% Draw 0.9% Max Holloway 51.8%
Predicted winner Max Holloway
Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 47.7% Β· Max Holloway 52.3%
Based on 110 past games with the same day-sign pair.
UFC Β· 2026-07-19
Dricus du Plessis
Day Just The Best
51%
vs
Kamaru Usman
Day Stop! Refuse no one
46.9%
Dricus du Plessis 51% Draw 2% Kamaru Usman 46.9%
Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis
Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 52.1% Β· Kamaru Usman 47.9%
Based on 49 past games with the same day-sign pair.
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History

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