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Forecast

UFC · 2026-07-19

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

47.3%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

51.8%

Conor McGregor 47.3% Draw 0.9% Max Holloway 51.8%

Predicted winner Max Holloway

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 47.7% · Max Holloway 52.3%

Based on 110 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

51%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

46.9%

Dricus du Plessis 51% Draw 2% Kamaru Usman 46.9%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 52.1% · Kamaru Usman 47.9%

Based on 49 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,912

2016-12-03

Hector Garcia

–

Gervonta Davis

2016-11-30

Stephen Fulton

–

Maxi Hughes

2016-11-26

Derek Brunson

–

Robert Whittaker

2016-11-16

Masamichi Yabuki

–

Manny Pacquiao

2016-11-12

Yoel Romero

–

Chris Weidman

2016-11-12

Raquel Pennington

–

Miesha Tate

2016-10-24

Jaron Ennis

–

Keith Thurman

2016-10-24

Brian Castano

–

Ivan Baranchyk

2016-10-21

Liam Paro

–

Joe Cordina

2016-10-14

Liam Paro

–

Teofimo Lopez

2016-10-12

Arnold Khegai

–

Jesse Rodriguez

2016-09-30

Mario Barrios

–

Takuma Inoue