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Forecast

UFC · 2026-07-19

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

47.3%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

51.8%

Conor McGregor 47.3% Draw 0.9% Max Holloway 51.8%

Predicted winner Max Holloway

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 47.7% · Max Holloway 52.3%

Based on 110 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

51%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

46.9%

Dricus du Plessis 51% Draw 2% Kamaru Usman 46.9%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 52.1% · Kamaru Usman 47.9%

Based on 49 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,912

2016-07-09

Daniel Cormier

–

Anderson Silva

2016-07-08

Jose Ramirez

–

Ryan Martin

2016-07-07

Mason Menard

–

Edgar Berlanga

2016-06-27

Nonito Donaire

–

Shakur Stevenson

2016-06-25

Tank Davis

–

Nordine Oubaali

2016-06-23

Gervonta Davis

–

Mikey Garcia

2016-06-20

Shakur Stevenson

–

Javier Fortuna

2016-06-12

Oleksandr Usyk

–

Jaron Ennis

2016-06-10

Jesse Rodriguez

–

Ismael Barroso

2016-06-04

Clay Guida

–

Brian Ortega

2016-05-27

Jose Valenzuela

–

Deontay Wilder

2016-05-19

Jose Zepeda

–

Gary Antonio Russell