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Forecast

UFC · 2026-07-19

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

47.3%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

51.8%

Conor McGregor 47.3% Draw 0.9% Max Holloway 51.8%

Predicted winner Max Holloway

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 47.7% · Max Holloway 52.3%

Based on 110 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

51%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

46.9%

Dricus du Plessis 51% Draw 2% Kamaru Usman 46.9%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 52.1% · Kamaru Usman 47.9%

Based on 49 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,912

2014-07-06

Frankie Edgar

–

BJ Penn

2014-05-24

Daniel Cormier

–

Dan Henderson

2014-03-23

Dan Henderson

–

Mauricio Rua

2014-03-15

Nikita Krylov

–

Ovince Saint Preux

2014-01-15

Derek Brunson

–

Yoel Romero

2013-11-30

Nate Diaz

–

Gray Maynard

2013-11-16

Rashad Evans

–

Chael Sonnen

2013-11-09

Vitor Belfort

–

Dan Henderson

2013-08-28

Carlos Condit

–

Martin Kampmann

2013-08-17

Max Holloway

–

Conor McGregor

2013-08-17

Mauricio Rua

–

Chael Sonnen

2013-07-06

Frankie Edgar

–

Charles Oliveira