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Forecast

UFC · 2026-06-27

Rafael Fiziev

Day Harder but normal

57.2%

Manuel Torres

Day Chaos dose

42.8%

Rafael Fiziev 57.2% Draw 0% Manuel Torres 42.8%

Predicted winner Rafael Fiziev

Win probability excluding draws: Rafael Fiziev 57.2% · Manuel Torres 42.8%

Based on 166 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19

Conor McGregor

Day Black Swan

47.3%

Max Holloway

Day Harder but normal

51.8%

Conor McGregor 47.3% Draw 0.9% Max Holloway 51.8%

Predicted winner Max Holloway

Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 47.7% · Max Holloway 52.3%

Based on 110 past games with the same day-sign pair.

UFC · 2026-07-19

Dricus du Plessis

Day Just The Best

51%

Kamaru Usman

Day Stop! Refuse no one

46.9%

Dricus du Plessis 51% Draw 2% Kamaru Usman 46.9%

Predicted winner Dricus du Plessis

Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 52.1% · Kamaru Usman 47.9%

Based on 49 past games with the same day-sign pair.

History

All Win Draw Lose

Recent games · 3,912

2012-05-05

Johny Hendricks

–

Josh Koscheck

2012-03-02

Martin Kampmann

–

Thiago Alves

2012-02-04

Max Holloway

–

Dustin Poirier

2012-01-28

Michael Bisping

–

Chael Sonnen

2011-11-19

Dan Henderson

–

Mauricio Rua

2011-11-12

Clay Guida

–

Benson Henderson

2011-10-29

Nick Diaz

–

BJ Penn

2011-09-24

Matt Hughes

–

Josh Koscheck

2011-08-27

Forrest Griffin

–

Mauricio Rua

2011-07-30

Fedor Emelianenko

–

Dan Henderson

2011-06-18

Alistair Overeem

–

Fabricio Werdum

2011-04-30

Randy Couture

–

Lyoto Machida