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Forecast
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Conor McGregor
Day Black Swan
53.3%
vs
Max Holloway
Day Harder but normal
46.6%
Conor McGregor 53.3% Draw 0.2% Max Holloway 46.6%
Predicted winner Conor McGregor
Win probability excluding draws: Conor McGregor 53.3% Β· Max Holloway 46.7%
Based on 1322 past games with the same day-sign pair.
UFC Β· 2026-07-19 Published 2026-07-20
Dricus du Plessis
Day Just The Best
50%
vs
Kamaru Usman
Day Stop! Refuse no one
50%
Dricus du Plessis 50% Draw 0% Kamaru Usman 50%
Predicted winner Too close to call
Win probability excluding draws: Dricus du Plessis 50% Β· Kamaru Usman 50%
Based on 548 past games with the same day-sign pair.
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History

57,334 Games
2026-07-18
Kamaru Usman
–
Dricus du Plessis
2026-07-11
Cody Durden
–
Alessandro Costa
2026-07-11
Zach Reese
–
Ryan Gandra
2026-07-11
John Garza
–
Farid Basharat
2026-07-11
Cesar Almeida
–
Damian Pinas
2026-07-11
Wang Cong
–
Tracy Cortez
2026-07-11
Luke Riley
–
Kai Kamaka III
2026-07-11
Cody Garbrandt
–
Adrian Yanez
2026-07-11
Elisha Ellison
–
Gable Steveson
2026-07-11
Nikita Krylov
–
Robert Whittaker
2026-07-11
King Green
–
Terrance McKinney
2026-07-11
Brandon Royval
–
Lone’er Kavanagh
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